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Tennis Trading Profits

One of the people I pay attention to on line is that cheeky chappy Clive Keeling.

I don't always agree with what he says, but I always pay attention.

Last week he sent out an email that demonstrated how he was making tennis trading profits.

If you didn't see the original mail, here are the highlights.

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So there I was, minding my own business, when all of a sudden I notice a certain Novak Djokovic has just lost the first set to Alexandr Dolgopolov in the Monte Carlo Masters.

Not just lost it, he was spanked 6-2.

Now, take note folks, that Novak was priced at 1.04 pre match. I.e. £100 stake will win you, erm, £4 less commission on Betfair.

Let's look at how this trade played out.

Firstly I use Fairbot here. I backed Novak at odds of 1.29 initially for £100. I noticed this 1.04 shot at these odds and expected Djoko to be playing blindfolded with both hands and legs tied while trying to balance a glass of delicious Robinsons Orange Cordial on his head without spilling it.

I was happy with this bet. Extreme value. And to my increased pleasure, young Dolgopolov won the first set, and how! At this stage I see a 1.04 shot (or other words 1/25 on) priced at 1.91. It would be rude if I did not indulge again at that price. The 2 bets are arrowed below.

Tennis Trade screenshot
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I am running at a loss above of £16.09 because, although the odds have decreased from 1.91, I still have a loss running from when I got involved at 1.29.

And so the fight back begins. Djokovic goes 2 games up in the 2nd set having broken serve quickly.

At this stage, as you see below, I am sitting on a £21.18 guaranteed profit as the odds plummet from a high of 1.91 to current 1.43.

Tennis Trade Screenshot
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I get out when the odds reach 1.27 initially, and then again at 1.21 in case the young scoundrel Dolgopolov decides to rain on my parade. A guaranteed £56 regardless of who wins (and remember the 2nd set is not over yet and there s a 3rd set to come.)

Tennis Trade Screenshot
Click to see full size

That is pretty much a perfect trade. Opportunities like these pop up regularly in tennis and football betting. Food for thought?

Today's message is look out for short priced favourites that get off to a bad start. When this happens you can take a value bet at the new odds and either hold it or better still get out for a guaranteed profit when the stronger player recovers their position.

To find out more about Clive Keeling and What Really Wins Money Click Here

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